Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 9.087276 10.534797 12.088951 13.875972 15.868091 18.014669 20.496536
2025-05-11 6.890594 8.696664 10.763828 13.285674 16.258909 19.632314 23.727519
2025-05-18 5.581032 7.577625 9.989812 13.079364 16.889052 21.389382 27.060191
2025-05-25 4.573058 6.641311 9.265782 12.775435 17.274771 22.775092 29.925152
2025-06-01 3.851078 5.951677 8.739137 12.613015 17.751156 24.220274 32.854466
2025-06-08 3.220084 5.288821 8.155201 12.286592 17.942479 25.258323 35.258269
2025-06-15 2.835122 4.917534 7.915289 12.375013 18.647860 26.948637 38.522768
2025-06-22 2.465913 4.517376 7.584497 12.290251 19.083289 28.268603 41.317343
2025-06-29 2.212560 4.262054 7.433450 12.435193 19.822883 30.002252 44.698397
2025-07-06 1.996407 4.037649 7.302203 12.586803 20.561099 31.741777 48.124121
2025-07-13 1.857171 3.924394 7.329095 12.968256 21.637332 33.975889 52.284997
2025-07-20 1.707358 3.772824 7.277092 13.215264 22.513150 35.942467 56.116829
2025-07-27 1.523852 3.538947 7.071185 13.207013 23.005700 37.381421 59.260398
2025-08-03 1.271077 3.137691 6.541742 12.632615 22.588468 37.464207 60.448523
2025-08-10 1.108299 2.889728 6.254181 12.431505 22.732860 38.366521 62.832333
2025-08-17 0.954073 2.635487 5.929029 12.138464 22.705972 38.996947 64.818833
2025-08-24 0.836144 2.440948 5.694623 11.982038 22.884373 39.933784 67.272393
2025-08-31 0.715617 2.220020 5.386353 11.668550 22.779675 40.418497 69.045566
2025-09-07 0.649802 2.117975 5.302209 11.753309 23.341670 41.954307 72.445106
2025-09-14 0.575618 1.982412 5.136035 11.671931 23.610613 43.027127 75.152364
2025-09-21 0.528094 1.907716 5.089239 11.811006 24.262723 44.725740 78.862583
2025-09-28 0.485477 1.838965 5.048231 11.956503 24.927977 46.459078 82.661183
2025-10-05 0.462613 1.821928 5.118644 12.322655 25.996387 48.873989 87.580226